Correlation Between Assured Guaranty and Radian

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Assured Guaranty and Radian at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Assured Guaranty and Radian into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Assured Guaranty and Radian Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Assured Guaranty and Radian and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Assured Guaranty with a short position of Radian. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Assured Guaranty and Radian.

Diversification Opportunities for Assured Guaranty and Radian

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Assured and Radian is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Assured Guaranty and Radian Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Radian Group and Assured Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Assured Guaranty are associated (or correlated) with Radian. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Radian Group has no effect on the direction of Assured Guaranty i.e., Assured Guaranty and Radian go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Assured Guaranty and Radian

Assuming the 90 days horizon Assured Guaranty is expected to generate 1.16 times less return on investment than Radian. In addition to that, Assured Guaranty is 1.75 times more volatile than Radian Group. It trades about 0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Radian Group is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,635  in Radian Group on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,545  from holding Radian Group or generate 94.5% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Assured Guaranty  vs.  Radian Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Assured Guaranty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Assured Guaranty are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Assured Guaranty reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Radian Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Radian Group are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Radian is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Assured Guaranty and Radian Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Assured Guaranty and Radian

The main advantage of trading using opposite Assured Guaranty and Radian positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Assured Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, Radian can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Radian will offset losses from the drop in Radian's long position.
The idea behind Assured Guaranty and Radian Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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