Correlation Between Dreyfus Natural and Real Return

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Dreyfus Natural and Real Return at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Dreyfus Natural and Real Return into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Dreyfus Natural Resources and Real Return Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Dreyfus Natural and Real Return and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Dreyfus Natural with a short position of Real Return. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Dreyfus Natural and Real Return.

Diversification Opportunities for Dreyfus Natural and Real Return

-0.36
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Dreyfus and Real is -0.36. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Dreyfus Natural Resources and Real Return Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Real Return Fund and Dreyfus Natural is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Dreyfus Natural Resources are associated (or correlated) with Real Return. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Real Return Fund has no effect on the direction of Dreyfus Natural i.e., Dreyfus Natural and Real Return go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Dreyfus Natural and Real Return

Assuming the 90 days horizon Dreyfus Natural Resources is expected to generate 3.64 times more return on investment than Real Return. However, Dreyfus Natural is 3.64 times more volatile than Real Return Fund. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Real Return Fund is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,147  in Dreyfus Natural Resources on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  242.00  from holding Dreyfus Natural Resources or generate 5.84% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Dreyfus Natural Resources  vs.  Real Return Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Dreyfus Natural Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Dreyfus Natural Resources are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Dreyfus Natural may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Real Return Fund 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Real Return Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Real Return is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Dreyfus Natural and Real Return Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Dreyfus Natural and Real Return

The main advantage of trading using opposite Dreyfus Natural and Real Return positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Dreyfus Natural position performs unexpectedly, Real Return can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Real Return will offset losses from the drop in Real Return's long position.
The idea behind Dreyfus Natural Resources and Real Return Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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