Correlation Between US Dollar and Wheat Futures

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both US Dollar and Wheat Futures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining US Dollar and Wheat Futures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between US Dollar and Wheat Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on US Dollar and Wheat Futures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in US Dollar with a short position of Wheat Futures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of US Dollar and Wheat Futures.

Diversification Opportunities for US Dollar and Wheat Futures

-0.53
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between DXUSD and Wheat is -0.53. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding US Dollar and Wheat Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Wheat Futures and US Dollar is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on US Dollar are associated (or correlated) with Wheat Futures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Wheat Futures has no effect on the direction of US Dollar i.e., US Dollar and Wheat Futures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between US Dollar and Wheat Futures

Assuming the 90 days horizon US Dollar is expected to generate 0.21 times more return on investment than Wheat Futures. However, US Dollar is 4.69 times less risky than Wheat Futures. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Wheat Futures is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,505  in US Dollar on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  75.00  from holding US Dollar or generate 0.71% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy97.13%
ValuesDaily Returns

US Dollar  vs.  Wheat Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
US Dollar 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in US Dollar are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, US Dollar is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Wheat Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Wheat Futures has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Wheat Futures is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

US Dollar and Wheat Futures Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with US Dollar and Wheat Futures

The main advantage of trading using opposite US Dollar and Wheat Futures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if US Dollar position performs unexpectedly, Wheat Futures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Wheat Futures will offset losses from the drop in Wheat Futures' long position.
The idea behind US Dollar and Wheat Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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