Correlation Between Ecopetrol and Consol Energy

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ecopetrol and Consol Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ecopetrol and Consol Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ecopetrol SA ADR and Consol Energy, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ecopetrol and Consol Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ecopetrol with a short position of Consol Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ecopetrol and Consol Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for Ecopetrol and Consol Energy

-0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Ecopetrol and Consol is -0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ecopetrol SA ADR and Consol Energy in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Consol Energy and Ecopetrol is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ecopetrol SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Consol Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Consol Energy has no effect on the direction of Ecopetrol i.e., Ecopetrol and Consol Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ecopetrol and Consol Energy

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ecopetrol is expected to generate 5.82 times less return on investment than Consol Energy. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Ecopetrol SA ADR is 1.56 times less risky than Consol Energy. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Consol Energy is currently generating about 0.28 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  10,944  in Consol Energy on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,195  from holding Consol Energy or generate 20.06% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ecopetrol SA ADR  vs.  Consol Energy

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ecopetrol SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ecopetrol SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.
Consol Energy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Consol Energy are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Consol Energy showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Ecopetrol and Consol Energy Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ecopetrol and Consol Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ecopetrol and Consol Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ecopetrol position performs unexpectedly, Consol Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Consol Energy will offset losses from the drop in Consol Energy's long position.
The idea behind Ecopetrol SA ADR and Consol Energy pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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