Correlation Between Empire State and First Citizens

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Empire State and First Citizens at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Empire State and First Citizens into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Empire State Realty and First Citizens BancShares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Empire State and First Citizens and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Empire State with a short position of First Citizens. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Empire State and First Citizens.

Diversification Opportunities for Empire State and First Citizens

0.34
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Empire and First is 0.34. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Empire State Realty and First Citizens BancShares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Citizens BancShares and Empire State is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Empire State Realty are associated (or correlated) with First Citizens. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Citizens BancShares has no effect on the direction of Empire State i.e., Empire State and First Citizens go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Empire State and First Citizens

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Empire State is expected to generate 2.86 times less return on investment than First Citizens. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Empire State Realty is 3.3 times less risky than First Citizens. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Citizens BancShares is currently generating about 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  171,329  in First Citizens BancShares on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  20,671  from holding First Citizens BancShares or generate 12.07% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Empire State Realty  vs.  First Citizens BancShares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Empire State Realty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Empire State Realty are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Empire State is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.
First Citizens BancShares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Citizens BancShares are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak fundamental indicators, First Citizens may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Empire State and First Citizens Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Empire State and First Citizens

The main advantage of trading using opposite Empire State and First Citizens positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Empire State position performs unexpectedly, First Citizens can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Citizens will offset losses from the drop in First Citizens' long position.
The idea behind Empire State Realty and First Citizens BancShares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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