Correlation Between ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens BancShares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ESSA Bancorp with a short position of First Citizens. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens.

Diversification Opportunities for ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ESSA and First is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens BancShares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Citizens BancShares and ESSA Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ESSA Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Citizens. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Citizens BancShares has no effect on the direction of ESSA Bancorp i.e., ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ESSA Bancorp is expected to generate 1.54 times less return on investment than First Citizens. In addition to that, ESSA Bancorp is 1.11 times more volatile than First Citizens BancShares. It trades about 0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Citizens BancShares is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  142,142  in First Citizens BancShares on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  87,358  from holding First Citizens BancShares or generate 61.46% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ESSA Bancorp  vs.  First Citizens BancShares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ESSA Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ESSA Bancorp are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady basic indicators, ESSA Bancorp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Citizens BancShares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Citizens BancShares are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat abnormal fundamental indicators, First Citizens sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens

The main advantage of trading using opposite ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ESSA Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, First Citizens can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Citizens will offset losses from the drop in First Citizens' long position.
The idea behind ESSA Bancorp and First Citizens BancShares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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