Correlation Between First National and TrustCo Bank

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First National and TrustCo Bank at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First National and TrustCo Bank into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First National Bank and TrustCo Bank Corp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First National and TrustCo Bank and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First National with a short position of TrustCo Bank. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First National and TrustCo Bank.

Diversification Opportunities for First National and TrustCo Bank

0.9
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and TrustCo is 0.9. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First National Bank and TrustCo Bank Corp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on TrustCo Bank Corp and First National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First National Bank are associated (or correlated) with TrustCo Bank. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of TrustCo Bank Corp has no effect on the direction of First National i.e., First National and TrustCo Bank go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First National and TrustCo Bank

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First National Bank is expected to generate 2.29 times more return on investment than TrustCo Bank. However, First National is 2.29 times more volatile than TrustCo Bank Corp. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. TrustCo Bank Corp is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  22,351  in First National Bank on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  649.00  from holding First National Bank or generate 2.9% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First National Bank  vs.  TrustCo Bank Corp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First National Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First National Bank are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unsteady basic indicators, First National disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
TrustCo Bank Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TrustCo Bank Corp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unsteady basic indicators, TrustCo Bank may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

First National and TrustCo Bank Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First National and TrustCo Bank

The main advantage of trading using opposite First National and TrustCo Bank positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First National position performs unexpectedly, TrustCo Bank can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TrustCo Bank will offset losses from the drop in TrustCo Bank's long position.
The idea behind First National Bank and TrustCo Bank Corp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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