Correlation Between Fortescue Metals and Vale SA

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Fortescue Metals and Vale SA at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Fortescue Metals and Vale SA into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Fortescue Metals Group and Vale SA ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Fortescue Metals and Vale SA and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Fortescue Metals with a short position of Vale SA. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Fortescue Metals and Vale SA.

Diversification Opportunities for Fortescue Metals and Vale SA

0.74
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Fortescue and Vale is 0.74. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Fortescue Metals Group and Vale SA ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vale SA ADR and Fortescue Metals is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Fortescue Metals Group are associated (or correlated) with Vale SA. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vale SA ADR has no effect on the direction of Fortescue Metals i.e., Fortescue Metals and Vale SA go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Fortescue Metals and Vale SA

Assuming the 90 days horizon Fortescue Metals Group is expected to generate 1.31 times more return on investment than Vale SA. However, Fortescue Metals is 1.31 times more volatile than Vale SA ADR. It trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vale SA ADR is currently generating about -0.19 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,254  in Fortescue Metals Group on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (34.00) from holding Fortescue Metals Group or give up 2.71% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Fortescue Metals Group  vs.  Vale SA ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Fortescue Metals 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Fortescue Metals Group are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak primary indicators, Fortescue Metals reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Vale SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vale SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound essential indicators, Vale SA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Fortescue Metals and Vale SA Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Fortescue Metals and Vale SA

The main advantage of trading using opposite Fortescue Metals and Vale SA positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Fortescue Metals position performs unexpectedly, Vale SA can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vale SA will offset losses from the drop in Vale SA's long position.
The idea behind Fortescue Metals Group and Vale SA ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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