Correlation Between Live Cattle and Lumber Futures

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Live Cattle and Lumber Futures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Live Cattle and Lumber Futures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Live Cattle Futures and Lumber Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Live Cattle and Lumber Futures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Live Cattle with a short position of Lumber Futures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Live Cattle and Lumber Futures.

Diversification Opportunities for Live Cattle and Lumber Futures

0.49
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Live and Lumber is 0.49. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Live Cattle Futures and Lumber Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Lumber Futures and Live Cattle is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Live Cattle Futures are associated (or correlated) with Lumber Futures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Lumber Futures has no effect on the direction of Live Cattle i.e., Live Cattle and Lumber Futures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Live Cattle and Lumber Futures

Assuming the 90 days horizon Live Cattle is expected to generate 5.43 times less return on investment than Lumber Futures. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Live Cattle Futures is 2.19 times less risky than Lumber Futures. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Lumber Futures is currently generating about 0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  57,450  in Lumber Futures on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,450  from holding Lumber Futures or generate 2.52% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Live Cattle Futures  vs.  Lumber Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Live Cattle Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Live Cattle Futures are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Live Cattle is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Lumber Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Lumber Futures are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Lumber Futures exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Live Cattle and Lumber Futures Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Live Cattle and Lumber Futures

The main advantage of trading using opposite Live Cattle and Lumber Futures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Live Cattle position performs unexpectedly, Lumber Futures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lumber Futures will offset losses from the drop in Lumber Futures' long position.
The idea behind Live Cattle Futures and Lumber Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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