Correlation Between Merck and First Ottawa

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merck and First Ottawa at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merck and First Ottawa into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merck Company and First Ottawa Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merck and First Ottawa and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merck with a short position of First Ottawa. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merck and First Ottawa.

Diversification Opportunities for Merck and First Ottawa

-0.87
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Merck and First is -0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merck Company and First Ottawa Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Ottawa Bancshares and Merck is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merck Company are associated (or correlated) with First Ottawa. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Ottawa Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Merck i.e., Merck and First Ottawa go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merck and First Ottawa

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Merck Company is expected to under-perform the First Ottawa. In addition to that, Merck is 1.14 times more volatile than First Ottawa Bancshares. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Ottawa Bancshares is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  9,910  in First Ottawa Bancshares on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,091  from holding First Ottawa Bancshares or generate 21.1% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy83.51%
ValuesDaily Returns

Merck Company  vs.  First Ottawa Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Merck Company 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Merck Company has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest abnormal performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.
First Ottawa Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Ottawa Bancshares are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat conflicting basic indicators, First Ottawa may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Merck and First Ottawa Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Merck and First Ottawa

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merck and First Ottawa positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merck position performs unexpectedly, First Ottawa can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Ottawa will offset losses from the drop in First Ottawa's long position.
The idea behind Merck Company and First Ottawa Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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