Correlation Between National Bank and ESSA Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Bank and ESSA Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Bank and ESSA Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Bank Holdings and ESSA Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Bank and ESSA Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Bank with a short position of ESSA Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Bank and ESSA Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for National Bank and ESSA Bancorp

0.78
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and ESSA is 0.78. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Bank Holdings and ESSA Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ESSA Bancorp and National Bank is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Bank Holdings are associated (or correlated) with ESSA Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ESSA Bancorp has no effect on the direction of National Bank i.e., National Bank and ESSA Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Bank and ESSA Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Bank Holdings is expected to generate 0.86 times more return on investment than ESSA Bancorp. However, National Bank Holdings is 1.17 times less risky than ESSA Bancorp. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ESSA Bancorp is currently generating about 0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,115  in National Bank Holdings on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,659  from holding National Bank Holdings or generate 53.26% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

National Bank Holdings  vs.  ESSA Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Bank Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Bank Holdings are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating technical indicators, National Bank may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
ESSA Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ESSA Bancorp are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady basic indicators, ESSA Bancorp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

National Bank and ESSA Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National Bank and ESSA Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Bank and ESSA Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Bank position performs unexpectedly, ESSA Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ESSA Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in ESSA Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind National Bank Holdings and ESSA Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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