Correlation Between Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Northeast Bancorp with a short position of First Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Northeast and First is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Bancorp and Northeast Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Northeast Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Northeast Bancorp i.e., Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Northeast Bancorp is expected to under-perform the First Bancorp. In addition to that, Northeast Bancorp is 1.19 times more volatile than First Bancorp. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Bancorp is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,882  in First Bancorp on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (19.00) from holding First Bancorp or give up 0.66% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Northeast Bancorp  vs.  First Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Northeast Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northeast Bancorp are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady fundamental drivers, Northeast Bancorp displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Bancorp are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak essential indicators, First Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Northeast Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, First Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in First Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Northeast Bancorp and First Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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