Correlation Between Novartis and Horizon Pharma

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Novartis and Horizon Pharma at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Novartis and Horizon Pharma into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Novartis AG and Horizon Pharma PLC, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Novartis and Horizon Pharma and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Novartis with a short position of Horizon Pharma. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Novartis and Horizon Pharma.

Diversification Opportunities for Novartis and Horizon Pharma

0.44
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Novartis and Horizon is 0.44. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Novartis AG and Horizon Pharma PLC in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Horizon Pharma PLC and Novartis is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Novartis AG are associated (or correlated) with Horizon Pharma. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Horizon Pharma PLC has no effect on the direction of Novartis i.e., Novartis and Horizon Pharma go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Novartis and Horizon Pharma

If you would invest  9,092  in Novartis AG on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,308  from holding Novartis AG or generate 14.39% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy0.4%
ValuesDaily Returns

Novartis AG  vs.  Horizon Pharma PLC

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Novartis AG 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Novartis AG has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.
Horizon Pharma PLC 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Horizon Pharma PLC has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Horizon Pharma is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Novartis and Horizon Pharma Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Novartis and Horizon Pharma

The main advantage of trading using opposite Novartis and Horizon Pharma positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Novartis position performs unexpectedly, Horizon Pharma can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Horizon Pharma will offset losses from the drop in Horizon Pharma's long position.
The idea behind Novartis AG and Horizon Pharma PLC pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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