Correlation Between US Treasury and SPDR Barclays

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both US Treasury and SPDR Barclays at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining US Treasury and SPDR Barclays into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between US Treasury 12 and SPDR Barclays Long, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on US Treasury and SPDR Barclays and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in US Treasury with a short position of SPDR Barclays. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of US Treasury and SPDR Barclays.

Diversification Opportunities for US Treasury and SPDR Barclays

-0.58
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between OBIL and SPDR is -0.58. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding US Treasury 12 and SPDR Barclays Long in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SPDR Barclays Long and US Treasury is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on US Treasury 12 are associated (or correlated) with SPDR Barclays. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SPDR Barclays Long has no effect on the direction of US Treasury i.e., US Treasury and SPDR Barclays go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between US Treasury and SPDR Barclays

Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Treasury is expected to generate 12.42 times less return on investment than SPDR Barclays. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, US Treasury 12 is 30.83 times less risky than SPDR Barclays. It trades about 0.39 of its potential returns per unit of risk. SPDR Barclays Long is currently generating about 0.16 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,701  in SPDR Barclays Long on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  86.00  from holding SPDR Barclays Long or generate 3.18% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

US Treasury 12  vs.  SPDR Barclays Long

 Performance 
       Timeline  
US Treasury 12 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

25 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in US Treasury 12 are ranked lower than 25 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent forward indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
SPDR Barclays Long 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days SPDR Barclays Long has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, SPDR Barclays is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

US Treasury and SPDR Barclays Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with US Treasury and SPDR Barclays

The main advantage of trading using opposite US Treasury and SPDR Barclays positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if US Treasury position performs unexpectedly, SPDR Barclays can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR Barclays will offset losses from the drop in SPDR Barclays' long position.
The idea behind US Treasury 12 and SPDR Barclays Long pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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