Correlation Between Old National and Mercantile Bank

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old National and Mercantile Bank at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old National and Mercantile Bank into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old National Bancorp and Mercantile Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old National and Mercantile Bank and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old National with a short position of Mercantile Bank. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old National and Mercantile Bank.

Diversification Opportunities for Old National and Mercantile Bank

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and Mercantile is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old National Bancorp and Mercantile Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Mercantile Bank and Old National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old National Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Mercantile Bank. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Mercantile Bank has no effect on the direction of Old National i.e., Old National and Mercantile Bank go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old National and Mercantile Bank

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Old National is expected to generate 1.06 times less return on investment than Mercantile Bank. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Old National Bancorp is 1.23 times less risky than Mercantile Bank. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Mercantile Bank is currently generating about 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,845  in Mercantile Bank on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,160  from holding Mercantile Bank or generate 75.92% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Old National Bancorp  vs.  Mercantile Bank

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Old National Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old National Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Old National sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Mercantile Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Mercantile Bank are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady basic indicators, Mercantile Bank may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Old National and Mercantile Bank Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Old National and Mercantile Bank

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old National and Mercantile Bank positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old National position performs unexpectedly, Mercantile Bank can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mercantile Bank will offset losses from the drop in Mercantile Bank's long position.
The idea behind Old National Bancorp and Mercantile Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

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