Correlation Between Old National and Old Second

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old National and Old Second at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old National and Old Second into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old National Bancorp and Old Second Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old National and Old Second and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old National with a short position of Old Second. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old National and Old Second.

Diversification Opportunities for Old National and Old Second

0.92
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and Old is 0.92. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old National Bancorp and Old Second Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Old Second Bancorp and Old National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old National Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Old Second. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Old Second Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Old National i.e., Old National and Old Second go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old National and Old Second

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Old National Bancorp is expected to generate 1.07 times more return on investment than Old Second. However, Old National is 1.07 times more volatile than Old Second Bancorp. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Old Second Bancorp is currently generating about 0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,317  in Old National Bancorp on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  999.00  from holding Old National Bancorp or generate 75.85% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Old National Bancorp  vs.  Old Second Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Old National Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old National Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Old National sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Old Second Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Second Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental drivers, Old Second may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Old National and Old Second Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Old National and Old Second

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old National and Old Second positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old National position performs unexpectedly, Old Second can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Old Second will offset losses from the drop in Old Second's long position.
The idea behind Old National Bancorp and Old Second Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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