Correlation Between Orrstown Financial and First Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Orrstown Financial and First Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Orrstown Financial and First Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Orrstown Financial Services and First Financial Northwest, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Orrstown Financial and First Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Orrstown Financial with a short position of First Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Orrstown Financial and First Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Orrstown Financial and First Financial

0.82
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Orrstown and First is 0.82. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Orrstown Financial Services and First Financial Northwest in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Financial Northwest and Orrstown Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Orrstown Financial Services are associated (or correlated) with First Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Financial Northwest has no effect on the direction of Orrstown Financial i.e., Orrstown Financial and First Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Orrstown Financial and First Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Orrstown Financial Services is expected to under-perform the First Financial. In addition to that, Orrstown Financial is 1.95 times more volatile than First Financial Northwest. It trades about -0.31 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Financial Northwest is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,125  in First Financial Northwest on November 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1.00  from holding First Financial Northwest or generate 0.05% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Orrstown Financial Services  vs.  First Financial Northwest

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Orrstown Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Orrstown Financial Services has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
First Financial Northwest 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Financial Northwest has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, First Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.

Orrstown Financial and First Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Orrstown Financial and First Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Orrstown Financial and First Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Orrstown Financial position performs unexpectedly, First Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Financial will offset losses from the drop in First Financial's long position.
The idea behind Orrstown Financial Services and First Financial Northwest pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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