Correlation Between Old Second and Affinity Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old Second and Affinity Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old Second and Affinity Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old Second Bancorp and Affinity Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old Second and Affinity Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old Second with a short position of Affinity Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old Second and Affinity Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Old Second and Affinity Bancshares

0.07
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and Affinity is 0.07. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old Second Bancorp and Affinity Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Affinity Bancshares and Old Second is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old Second Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Affinity Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Affinity Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Old Second i.e., Old Second and Affinity Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old Second and Affinity Bancshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Old Second Bancorp is expected to generate 3.11 times more return on investment than Affinity Bancshares. However, Old Second is 3.11 times more volatile than Affinity Bancshares. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Affinity Bancshares is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,642  in Old Second Bancorp on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  218.00  from holding Old Second Bancorp or generate 13.28% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Old Second Bancorp  vs.  Affinity Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Old Second Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Second Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather inconsistent fundamental drivers, Old Second may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Affinity Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Affinity Bancshares are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong fundamental drivers, Affinity Bancshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Old Second and Affinity Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Old Second and Affinity Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old Second and Affinity Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old Second position performs unexpectedly, Affinity Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Affinity Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in Affinity Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind Old Second Bancorp and Affinity Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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