Correlation Between Long-term and Municipal Bond

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Long-term and Municipal Bond at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Long-term and Municipal Bond into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Long Term Government Fund and Municipal Bond Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Long-term and Municipal Bond and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Long-term with a short position of Municipal Bond. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Long-term and Municipal Bond.

Diversification Opportunities for Long-term and Municipal Bond

0.65
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Long-term and Municipal is 0.65. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Long Term Government Fund and Municipal Bond Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Municipal Bond and Long-term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Long Term Government Fund are associated (or correlated) with Municipal Bond. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Municipal Bond has no effect on the direction of Long-term i.e., Long-term and Municipal Bond go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Long-term and Municipal Bond

Assuming the 90 days horizon Long Term Government Fund is expected to generate 3.07 times more return on investment than Municipal Bond. However, Long-term is 3.07 times more volatile than Municipal Bond Fund. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Municipal Bond Fund is currently generating about 0.19 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,426  in Long Term Government Fund on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  24.00  from holding Long Term Government Fund or generate 1.68% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Long Term Government Fund  vs.  Municipal Bond Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Long Term Government 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Long Term Government Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Long-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Municipal Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Municipal Bond Fund are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Municipal Bond is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Long-term and Municipal Bond Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Long-term and Municipal Bond

The main advantage of trading using opposite Long-term and Municipal Bond positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Long-term position performs unexpectedly, Municipal Bond can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Municipal Bond will offset losses from the drop in Municipal Bond's long position.
The idea behind Long Term Government Fund and Municipal Bond Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

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