Correlation Between Phillips and Ultrapar Participacoes

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Phillips and Ultrapar Participacoes at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Phillips and Ultrapar Participacoes into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Phillips 66 and Ultrapar Participacoes SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Phillips and Ultrapar Participacoes and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Phillips with a short position of Ultrapar Participacoes. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Phillips and Ultrapar Participacoes.

Diversification Opportunities for Phillips and Ultrapar Participacoes

-0.23
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Phillips and Ultrapar is -0.23. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Phillips 66 and Ultrapar Participacoes SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultrapar Participacoes and Phillips is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Phillips 66 are associated (or correlated) with Ultrapar Participacoes. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultrapar Participacoes has no effect on the direction of Phillips i.e., Phillips and Ultrapar Participacoes go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Phillips and Ultrapar Participacoes

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Phillips 66 is expected to generate 0.72 times more return on investment than Ultrapar Participacoes. However, Phillips 66 is 1.39 times less risky than Ultrapar Participacoes. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ultrapar Participacoes SA is currently generating about -0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,874  in Phillips 66 on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,655  from holding Phillips 66 or generate 15.22% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Phillips 66  vs.  Ultrapar Participacoes SA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Phillips 66 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Phillips 66 are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Phillips is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Ultrapar Participacoes 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ultrapar Participacoes SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors.

Phillips and Ultrapar Participacoes Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Phillips and Ultrapar Participacoes

The main advantage of trading using opposite Phillips and Ultrapar Participacoes positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Phillips position performs unexpectedly, Ultrapar Participacoes can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultrapar Participacoes will offset losses from the drop in Ultrapar Participacoes' long position.
The idea behind Phillips 66 and Ultrapar Participacoes SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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