Correlation Between Paradigm Value and Vanguard Small-cap

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Paradigm Value and Vanguard Small-cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Paradigm Value and Vanguard Small-cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Paradigm Value Fund and Vanguard Small Cap Index, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Paradigm Value and Vanguard Small-cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Paradigm Value with a short position of Vanguard Small-cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Paradigm Value and Vanguard Small-cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Paradigm Value and Vanguard Small-cap

0.87
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Paradigm and Vanguard is 0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Paradigm Value Fund and Vanguard Small Cap Index in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Small Cap and Paradigm Value is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Paradigm Value Fund are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Small-cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Small Cap has no effect on the direction of Paradigm Value i.e., Paradigm Value and Vanguard Small-cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Paradigm Value and Vanguard Small-cap

Assuming the 90 days horizon Paradigm Value is expected to generate 1.59 times less return on investment than Vanguard Small-cap. In addition to that, Paradigm Value is 1.2 times more volatile than Vanguard Small Cap Index. It trades about 0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Small Cap Index is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  10,443  in Vanguard Small Cap Index on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,999  from holding Vanguard Small Cap Index or generate 19.14% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy99.47%
ValuesDaily Returns

Paradigm Value Fund  vs.  Vanguard Small Cap Index

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Paradigm Value 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Paradigm Value Fund are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Paradigm Value may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Small-cap showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Paradigm Value and Vanguard Small-cap Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Paradigm Value and Vanguard Small-cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Paradigm Value and Vanguard Small-cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Paradigm Value position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Small-cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Small-cap will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Small-cap's long position.
The idea behind Paradigm Value Fund and Vanguard Small Cap Index pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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