Correlation Between Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Rio Tinto ADR and Fortescue Metals Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Rio Tinto with a short position of Fortescue Metals. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals.

Diversification Opportunities for Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals

0.93
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Rio and Fortescue is 0.93. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Rio Tinto ADR and Fortescue Metals Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Fortescue Metals and Rio Tinto is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Rio Tinto ADR are associated (or correlated) with Fortescue Metals. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Fortescue Metals has no effect on the direction of Rio Tinto i.e., Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Rio Tinto ADR is expected to under-perform the Fortescue Metals. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Rio Tinto ADR is 1.5 times less risky than Fortescue Metals. The stock trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Fortescue Metals Group is currently generating about -0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,497  in Fortescue Metals Group on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (26.00) from holding Fortescue Metals Group or give up 1.04% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Rio Tinto ADR  vs.  Fortescue Metals Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Rio Tinto ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Rio Tinto ADR are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy forward indicators, Rio Tinto is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Fortescue Metals 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Fortescue Metals Group are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, Fortescue Metals showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals

The main advantage of trading using opposite Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Rio Tinto position performs unexpectedly, Fortescue Metals can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fortescue Metals will offset losses from the drop in Fortescue Metals' long position.
The idea behind Rio Tinto ADR and Fortescue Metals Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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