Correlation Between Inverse Dow and Sp 500

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Inverse Dow and Sp 500 at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Inverse Dow and Sp 500 into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Inverse Dow 2x and Sp 500 Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Inverse Dow and Sp 500 and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Inverse Dow with a short position of Sp 500. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Inverse Dow and Sp 500.

Diversification Opportunities for Inverse Dow and Sp 500

-0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Inverse and RYSPX is -0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Inverse Dow 2x and Sp 500 Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Sp 500 Fund and Inverse Dow is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Inverse Dow 2x are associated (or correlated) with Sp 500. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Sp 500 Fund has no effect on the direction of Inverse Dow i.e., Inverse Dow and Sp 500 go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Inverse Dow and Sp 500

Assuming the 90 days horizon Inverse Dow 2x is expected to under-perform the Sp 500. In addition to that, Inverse Dow is 2.53 times more volatile than Sp 500 Fund. It trades about -0.33 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Sp 500 Fund is currently generating about 0.33 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  8,776  in Sp 500 Fund on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  466.00  from holding Sp 500 Fund or generate 5.31% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Inverse Dow 2x  vs.  Sp 500 Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Inverse Dow 2x 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Inverse Dow 2x has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
Sp 500 Fund 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Sp 500 Fund are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Sp 500 may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Inverse Dow and Sp 500 Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Inverse Dow and Sp 500

The main advantage of trading using opposite Inverse Dow and Sp 500 positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Inverse Dow position performs unexpectedly, Sp 500 can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Sp 500 will offset losses from the drop in Sp 500's long position.
The idea behind Inverse Dow 2x and Sp 500 Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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