Correlation Between Selective Insurance and AmTrust Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Selective Insurance and AmTrust Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Selective Insurance and AmTrust Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Selective Insurance Group and AmTrust Financial Services, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Selective Insurance and AmTrust Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Selective Insurance with a short position of AmTrust Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Selective Insurance and AmTrust Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Selective Insurance and AmTrust Financial

0.39
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Selective and AmTrust is 0.39. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Selective Insurance Group and AmTrust Financial Services in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on AmTrust Financial and Selective Insurance is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Selective Insurance Group are associated (or correlated) with AmTrust Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of AmTrust Financial has no effect on the direction of Selective Insurance i.e., Selective Insurance and AmTrust Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Selective Insurance and AmTrust Financial

Assuming the 90 days horizon Selective Insurance Group is expected to under-perform the AmTrust Financial. But the preferred stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Selective Insurance Group is 1.51 times less risky than AmTrust Financial. The preferred stock trades about -0.27 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The AmTrust Financial Services is currently generating about 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,325  in AmTrust Financial Services on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  50.00  from holding AmTrust Financial Services or generate 3.77% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Selective Insurance Group  vs.  AmTrust Financial Services

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Selective Insurance 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Selective Insurance Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable forward indicators, Selective Insurance is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
AmTrust Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in AmTrust Financial Services are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak forward indicators, AmTrust Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Selective Insurance and AmTrust Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Selective Insurance and AmTrust Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Selective Insurance and AmTrust Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Selective Insurance position performs unexpectedly, AmTrust Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AmTrust Financial will offset losses from the drop in AmTrust Financial's long position.
The idea behind Selective Insurance Group and AmTrust Financial Services pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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