Correlation Between Toronto Dominion and First Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Toronto Dominion and First Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Toronto Dominion and First Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Toronto Dominion Bank and First Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Toronto Dominion and First Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Toronto Dominion with a short position of First Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Toronto Dominion and First Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Toronto Dominion and First Bancorp

-0.61
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Toronto and First is -0.61. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Toronto Dominion Bank and First Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Bancorp and Toronto Dominion is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Toronto Dominion Bank are associated (or correlated) with First Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Toronto Dominion i.e., Toronto Dominion and First Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Toronto Dominion and First Bancorp

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Toronto Dominion Bank is expected to under-perform the First Bancorp. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Toronto Dominion Bank is 2.56 times less risky than First Bancorp. The stock trades about -0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The First Bancorp is currently generating about 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,628  in First Bancorp on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  202.00  from holding First Bancorp or generate 7.69% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Toronto Dominion Bank  vs.  First Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Toronto Dominion Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Toronto Dominion Bank has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.
First Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Bancorp are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak essential indicators, First Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Toronto Dominion and First Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Toronto Dominion and First Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Toronto Dominion and First Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Toronto Dominion position performs unexpectedly, First Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in First Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Toronto Dominion Bank and First Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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