Correlation Between Timken and Valneva SE

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Timken and Valneva SE at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Timken and Valneva SE into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Timken Company and Valneva SE ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Timken and Valneva SE and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Timken with a short position of Valneva SE. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Timken and Valneva SE.

Diversification Opportunities for Timken and Valneva SE

0.43
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Timken and Valneva is 0.43. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Timken Company and Valneva SE ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Valneva SE ADR and Timken is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Timken Company are associated (or correlated) with Valneva SE. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Valneva SE ADR has no effect on the direction of Timken i.e., Timken and Valneva SE go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Timken and Valneva SE

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Timken Company is expected to generate 0.56 times more return on investment than Valneva SE. However, Timken Company is 1.8 times less risky than Valneva SE. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Valneva SE ADR is currently generating about -0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,207  in Timken Company on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (462.00) from holding Timken Company or give up 5.63% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Timken Company  vs.  Valneva SE ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Timken Company 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Timken Company has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable forward-looking signals, Timken is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
Valneva SE ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Valneva SE ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

Timken and Valneva SE Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Timken and Valneva SE

The main advantage of trading using opposite Timken and Valneva SE positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Timken position performs unexpectedly, Valneva SE can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Valneva SE will offset losses from the drop in Valneva SE's long position.
The idea behind Timken Company and Valneva SE ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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