Correlation Between UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in UMB Financial with a short position of Finward Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp

0.26
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between UMB and Finward is 0.26. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Finward Bancorp and UMB Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on UMB Financial are associated (or correlated) with Finward Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Finward Bancorp has no effect on the direction of UMB Financial i.e., UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days UMB Financial is expected to under-perform the Finward Bancorp. In addition to that, UMB Financial is 2.35 times more volatile than Finward Bancorp. It trades about -0.29 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Finward Bancorp is currently generating about -0.13 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,685  in Finward Bancorp on November 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (54.00) from holding Finward Bancorp or give up 2.01% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

UMB Financial  vs.  Finward Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
UMB Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days UMB Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
Finward Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Finward Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.

UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if UMB Financial position performs unexpectedly, Finward Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Finward Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Finward Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind UMB Financial and Finward Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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