Correlation Between Virginia National and FVCBankcorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Virginia National and FVCBankcorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Virginia National and FVCBankcorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Virginia National Bankshares and FVCBankcorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Virginia National and FVCBankcorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Virginia National with a short position of FVCBankcorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Virginia National and FVCBankcorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Virginia National and FVCBankcorp

0.69
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Virginia and FVCBankcorp is 0.69. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Virginia National Bankshares and FVCBankcorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on FVCBankcorp and Virginia National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Virginia National Bankshares are associated (or correlated) with FVCBankcorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of FVCBankcorp has no effect on the direction of Virginia National i.e., Virginia National and FVCBankcorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Virginia National and FVCBankcorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Virginia National is expected to generate 1.34 times less return on investment than FVCBankcorp. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Virginia National Bankshares is 1.42 times less risky than FVCBankcorp. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. FVCBankcorp is currently generating about 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,300  in FVCBankcorp on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  93.00  from holding FVCBankcorp or generate 7.15% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Virginia National Bankshares  vs.  FVCBankcorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Virginia National 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Virginia National Bankshares are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unsteady fundamental drivers, Virginia National may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
FVCBankcorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FVCBankcorp are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak fundamental indicators, FVCBankcorp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Virginia National and FVCBankcorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Virginia National and FVCBankcorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Virginia National and FVCBankcorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Virginia National position performs unexpectedly, FVCBankcorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in FVCBankcorp will offset losses from the drop in FVCBankcorp's long position.
The idea behind Virginia National Bankshares and FVCBankcorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

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