Correlation Between Vanguard Total and Total Return

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Total and Total Return at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Total and Total Return into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Total Bond and Total Return Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Total and Total Return and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Total with a short position of Total Return. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Total and Total Return.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Total and Total Return

1.0
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Total is 1.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Total Bond and Total Return Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Total Return Bond and Vanguard Total is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Total Bond are associated (or correlated) with Total Return. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Total Return Bond has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Total i.e., Vanguard Total and Total Return go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Total and Total Return

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Total Bond is expected to generate 0.98 times more return on investment than Total Return. However, Vanguard Total Bond is 1.02 times less risky than Total Return. It trades about -0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Total Return Bond is currently generating about -0.09 per unit of risk. If you would invest  985.00  in Vanguard Total Bond on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (18.00) from holding Vanguard Total Bond or give up 1.83% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Total Bond  vs.  Total Return Bond

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Total Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Total Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Vanguard Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Total Return Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Total Return Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Total Return is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Total and Total Return Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Total and Total Return

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Total and Total Return positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Total position performs unexpectedly, Total Return can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Total Return will offset losses from the drop in Total Return's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Total Bond and Total Return Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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