Correlation Between Vanguard FTSE and IShares MSCI

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard FTSE and IShares MSCI at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard FTSE and IShares MSCI into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard FTSE Emerging and iShares MSCI EAFE, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard FTSE and IShares MSCI and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard FTSE with a short position of IShares MSCI. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard FTSE and IShares MSCI.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard FTSE and IShares MSCI

0.69
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and IShares is 0.69. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard FTSE Emerging and iShares MSCI EAFE in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on iShares MSCI EAFE and Vanguard FTSE is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard FTSE Emerging are associated (or correlated) with IShares MSCI. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of iShares MSCI EAFE has no effect on the direction of Vanguard FTSE i.e., Vanguard FTSE and IShares MSCI go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard FTSE and IShares MSCI

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vanguard FTSE Emerging is expected to under-perform the IShares MSCI. In addition to that, Vanguard FTSE is 1.34 times more volatile than iShares MSCI EAFE. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. iShares MSCI EAFE is currently generating about 0.03 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  3,624  in iShares MSCI EAFE on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  14.00  from holding iShares MSCI EAFE or generate 0.39% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard FTSE Emerging  vs.  iShares MSCI EAFE

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard FTSE Emerging 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard FTSE Emerging are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Vanguard FTSE may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
iShares MSCI EAFE 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days iShares MSCI EAFE has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, IShares MSCI is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard FTSE and IShares MSCI Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard FTSE and IShares MSCI

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard FTSE and IShares MSCI positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard FTSE position performs unexpectedly, IShares MSCI can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in IShares MSCI will offset losses from the drop in IShares MSCI's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard FTSE Emerging and iShares MSCI EAFE pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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