Correlation Between Vanguard Mid-cap and Ariel Focus

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Mid-cap and Ariel Focus at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Mid-cap and Ariel Focus into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Mid Cap Value and Ariel Focus Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Mid-cap and Ariel Focus and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Mid-cap with a short position of Ariel Focus. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Mid-cap and Ariel Focus.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Mid-cap and Ariel Focus

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Ariel is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Mid Cap Value and Ariel Focus Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ariel Focus Fund and Vanguard Mid-cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Mid Cap Value are associated (or correlated) with Ariel Focus. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ariel Focus Fund has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Mid-cap i.e., Vanguard Mid-cap and Ariel Focus go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Mid-cap and Ariel Focus

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Mid-cap is expected to generate 1.12 times less return on investment than Ariel Focus. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard Mid Cap Value is 1.67 times less risky than Ariel Focus. It trades about 0.4 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ariel Focus Fund is currently generating about 0.27 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,688  in Ariel Focus Fund on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  121.00  from holding Ariel Focus Fund or generate 7.17% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Mid Cap Value  vs.  Ariel Focus Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Mid Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Mid Cap Value are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Mid-cap may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Ariel Focus Fund 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ariel Focus Fund are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Ariel Focus may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Vanguard Mid-cap and Ariel Focus Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Mid-cap and Ariel Focus

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Mid-cap and Ariel Focus positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Mid-cap position performs unexpectedly, Ariel Focus can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ariel Focus will offset losses from the drop in Ariel Focus' long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Mid Cap Value and Ariel Focus Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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