Correlation Between Vanguard and 30 Year

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard and 30 Year at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard and 30 Year into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard SP 500 and 30 Year Treasury, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard and 30 Year and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard with a short position of 30 Year. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard and 30 Year.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard and 30 Year

-0.82
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and ZBUSD is -0.82. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard SP 500 and 30 Year Treasury in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on 30 Year Treasury and Vanguard is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard SP 500 are associated (or correlated) with 30 Year. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of 30 Year Treasury has no effect on the direction of Vanguard i.e., Vanguard and 30 Year go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard and 30 Year

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard SP 500 is expected to generate 1.17 times more return on investment than 30 Year. However, Vanguard is 1.17 times more volatile than 30 Year Treasury. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. 30 Year Treasury is currently generating about -0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  46,157  in Vanguard SP 500 on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  9,188  from holding Vanguard SP 500 or generate 19.91% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy96.91%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard SP 500  vs.  30 Year Treasury

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard SP 500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard SP 500 are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very inconsistent basic indicators, Vanguard may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
30 Year Treasury 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days 30 Year Treasury has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, 30 Year is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Vanguard and 30 Year Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard and 30 Year

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard and 30 Year positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard position performs unexpectedly, 30 Year can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in 30 Year will offset losses from the drop in 30 Year's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard SP 500 and 30 Year Treasury pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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