Correlation Between Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Index and Northern Small Cap, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small-cap with a short position of Northern Small. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small

0.94
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Northern is 0.94. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Index and Northern Small Cap in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Northern Small Cap and Vanguard Small-cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with Northern Small. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Northern Small Cap has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small-cap i.e., Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Small Cap Index is expected to generate 0.86 times more return on investment than Northern Small. However, Vanguard Small Cap Index is 1.16 times less risky than Northern Small. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Northern Small Cap is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,443  in Vanguard Small Cap Index on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,999  from holding Vanguard Small Cap Index or generate 19.14% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy99.47%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Index  vs.  Northern Small Cap

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Small-cap showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Northern Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northern Small Cap are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Northern Small may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small-cap position performs unexpectedly, Northern Small can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Northern Small will offset losses from the drop in Northern Small's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Index and Northern Small Cap pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

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