Correlation Between Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Long-term

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Long-term at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Long-term into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Index and Vanguard Long Term Government, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Long-term and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small-cap with a short position of Vanguard Long-term. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Long-term.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Long-term

-0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is -0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Index and Vanguard Long Term Government in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Long Term and Vanguard Small-cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Long-term. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Long Term has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small-cap i.e., Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Long-term go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Long-term

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Small Cap Index is expected to generate 1.22 times more return on investment than Vanguard Long-term. However, Vanguard Small-cap is 1.22 times more volatile than Vanguard Long Term Government. It trades about 0.39 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Long Term Government is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  11,289  in Vanguard Small Cap Index on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,153  from holding Vanguard Small Cap Index or generate 10.21% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Index  vs.  Vanguard Long Term Government

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Small-cap showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Vanguard Long Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Long Term Government has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Long-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Long-term Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Long-term

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Long-term positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small-cap position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Long-term can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Long-term will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Long-term's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Index and Vanguard Long Term Government pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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