Correlation Between Vanguard Tax-exempt and Vanguard Intermediate-ter

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Tax-exempt and Vanguard Intermediate-ter at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Tax-exempt and Vanguard Intermediate-ter into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Tax Exempt Bond and Vanguard Intermediate Term Government, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Tax-exempt and Vanguard Intermediate-ter and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Tax-exempt with a short position of Vanguard Intermediate-ter. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Tax-exempt and Vanguard Intermediate-ter.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Tax-exempt and Vanguard Intermediate-ter

0.65
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between VANGUARD and Vanguard is 0.65. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Tax Exempt Bond and Vanguard Intermediate Term Gov in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Intermediate-ter and Vanguard Tax-exempt is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Tax Exempt Bond are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Intermediate-ter. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Intermediate-ter has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Tax-exempt i.e., Vanguard Tax-exempt and Vanguard Intermediate-ter go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Tax-exempt and Vanguard Intermediate-ter

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Tax Exempt Bond is expected to generate 0.7 times more return on investment than Vanguard Intermediate-ter. However, Vanguard Tax Exempt Bond is 1.42 times less risky than Vanguard Intermediate-ter. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Intermediate Term Government is currently generating about 0.1 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,954  in Vanguard Tax Exempt Bond on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  81.00  from holding Vanguard Tax Exempt Bond or generate 4.15% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Tax Exempt Bond  vs.  Vanguard Intermediate Term Gov

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Tax Exempt 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Tax Exempt Bond are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Tax-exempt is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Vanguard Intermediate-ter 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Intermediate Term Government has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Vanguard Intermediate-ter is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Tax-exempt and Vanguard Intermediate-ter Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Tax-exempt and Vanguard Intermediate-ter

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Tax-exempt and Vanguard Intermediate-ter positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Tax-exempt position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Intermediate-ter can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Intermediate-ter will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Intermediate-ter's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Tax Exempt Bond and Vanguard Intermediate Term Government pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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