Correlation Between Vanguard Short and Ultra Short

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Short and Ultra Short at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Short and Ultra Short into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Short Term Tax Exempt and Ultra Short Term Municipal, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Short and Ultra Short and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Short with a short position of Ultra Short. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Short and Ultra Short.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Short and Ultra Short

0.91
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Ultra is 0.91. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Short Term Tax Exempt and Ultra Short Term Municipal in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultra Short Term and Vanguard Short is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Short Term Tax Exempt are associated (or correlated) with Ultra Short. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultra Short Term has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Short i.e., Vanguard Short and Ultra Short go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Short and Ultra Short

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Short is expected to generate 1.63 times less return on investment than Ultra Short. In addition to that, Vanguard Short is 1.04 times more volatile than Ultra Short Term Municipal. It trades about 0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Ultra Short Term Municipal is currently generating about 0.17 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  959.00  in Ultra Short Term Municipal on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7.00  from holding Ultra Short Term Municipal or generate 0.73% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Short Term Tax Exempt  vs.  Ultra Short Term Municipal

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Short Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Short Term Tax Exempt are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Short is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Ultra Short Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultra Short Term Municipal are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Ultra Short is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Short and Ultra Short Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Short and Ultra Short

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Short and Ultra Short positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Short position performs unexpectedly, Ultra Short can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultra Short will offset losses from the drop in Ultra Short's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Short Term Tax Exempt and Ultra Short Term Municipal pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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