Correlation Between Oat Futures and Lumber Futures

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Oat Futures and Lumber Futures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Oat Futures and Lumber Futures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Oat Futures and Lumber Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Oat Futures and Lumber Futures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Oat Futures with a short position of Lumber Futures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Oat Futures and Lumber Futures.

Diversification Opportunities for Oat Futures and Lumber Futures

0.01
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Oat and Lumber is 0.01. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Oat Futures and Lumber Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Lumber Futures and Oat Futures is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Oat Futures are associated (or correlated) with Lumber Futures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Lumber Futures has no effect on the direction of Oat Futures i.e., Oat Futures and Lumber Futures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Oat Futures and Lumber Futures

Assuming the 90 days horizon Oat Futures is expected to under-perform the Lumber Futures. In addition to that, Oat Futures is 1.36 times more volatile than Lumber Futures. It trades about -0.15 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Lumber Futures is currently generating about 0.17 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  54,950  in Lumber Futures on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,950  from holding Lumber Futures or generate 7.19% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Oat Futures  vs.  Lumber Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Oat Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oat Futures are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Oat Futures may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Lumber Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Lumber Futures are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Lumber Futures exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Oat Futures and Lumber Futures Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Oat Futures and Lumber Futures

The main advantage of trading using opposite Oat Futures and Lumber Futures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Oat Futures position performs unexpectedly, Lumber Futures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lumber Futures will offset losses from the drop in Lumber Futures' long position.
The idea behind Oat Futures and Lumber Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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