Advantage Oil Gas Stock Performance

AAVVF Stock  USD 8.14  0.19  2.39%   
Advantage Oil has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Advantage Oil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Advantage Oil is expected to be smaller as well. Advantage Oil Gas right now shows a risk of 1.94%. Please confirm Advantage Oil Gas value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Advantage Oil Gas will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Advantage Oil Gas are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Advantage Oil is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow3.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-117.8 M
  

Advantage Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  779.00  in Advantage Oil Gas on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  35.00  from holding Advantage Oil Gas or generate 4.49% return on investment over 90 days. Advantage Oil Gas is currently producing 0.0918% returns and takes up 1.9367% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 17% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Advantage, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Advantage Oil is expected to generate 2.57 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.57 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Advantage Oil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Advantage Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.14 90 days 8.14 
about 77.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advantage Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.34 (This Advantage Oil Gas probability density function shows the probability of Advantage Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Advantage Oil has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Advantage Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Advantage Oil Gas will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Advantage Oil Gas has an alpha of 0.0029, implying that it can generate a 0.002917 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Advantage Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Advantage Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advantage Oil Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advantage Oil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.208.1410.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.046.988.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.378.3110.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.638.208.77
Details

Advantage Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advantage Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advantage Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advantage Oil Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advantage Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Advantage Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advantage Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advantage Oil Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Advantage Oil Gas has accumulated 167.34 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.08, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Advantage Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Advantage Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Advantage Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Advantage Oil Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Advantage to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Advantage Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Advantage Oil Fundamentals Growth

Advantage Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Advantage Oil, and Advantage Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Advantage Pink Sheet performance.

About Advantage Oil Performance

By analyzing Advantage Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Advantage Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Advantage Oil has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Advantage Oil has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Advantage Energy Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, exploits, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Province of Alberta, Canada. Advantage Energy Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. Advantage Energy operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 42 people.

Things to note about Advantage Oil Gas performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Advantage Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Advantage Oil Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Advantage Oil Gas has accumulated 167.34 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.08, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Advantage Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Advantage Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Advantage Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Advantage Oil Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Advantage to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Advantage Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Evaluating Advantage Oil's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Advantage Oil's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Advantage Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Advantage Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Advantage Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Advantage Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Advantage Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Advantage Oil's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Advantage Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Advantage Oil's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Advantage Oil's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Advantage Oil's price analysis, check to measure Advantage Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advantage Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Advantage Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advantage Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advantage Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advantage Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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