Acadia Healthcare Stock Performance

ACHC Stock  USD 15.23  0.08  0.53%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.62, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Acadia Healthcare's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Acadia Healthcare is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Acadia Healthcare has a negative expected return of -0.57%. Please make sure to confirm Acadia Healthcare's total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if Acadia Healthcare performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Acadia Healthcare has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.53
Five Day Return
6.88
Year To Date Return
6.58
Ten Year Return
(74.92)
All Time Return
(36.54)
Last Split Factor
1:4
Last Split Date
2011-11-01
1
KeyBanc Cuts Acadia Healthcare PT to 30 from 35, Maintains Overweight on Q3 Results
11/21/2025
2
Why Acadia Healthcare Shares Are Trading Lower Today
12/03/2025
3
Is Acadia Realty Trust Attractively Priced After a 17 percent Slide in 2025
12/17/2025
4
Acquisition by Christopher Hunter of 115818 shares of Acadia Healthcare subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
5
Acadia Healthcare to Participate in 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
01/06/2026
6
Is Acadia Healthcare Company Pricing Reflect Recent Sector Reassessment And Cash Flow Outlook
01/09/2026
7
Mizuho Labels 2026 a Pivotal Year for Acadia Healthcare Amid Managed Care Recovery
01/12/2026
8
Neuren Anticipates Substantial DAYBUE Sales Growth
01/14/2026
9
TD Cowen Lowers Acadia Healthcare Price Target to 22.00
01/16/2026
10
Acadia Healthcare appoints Debbie Osteen as CEO, EPS outlook trails estimates
01/20/2026
11
Acadia Healthcare rehires former CEO amid financial, legal challenges
01/21/2026
12
Universal Beteiligungs und Servicegesellschaft mbH Sells 719,970 Shares of Acadia Realty Trust AKR
01/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow100.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-736.5 M

Acadia Healthcare Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,317  in Acadia Healthcare on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (794.00) from holding Acadia Healthcare or give up 34.27% of portfolio value over 90 days. Acadia Healthcare is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.5916% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 41% of stocks are less volatile than Acadia, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Acadia Healthcare is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Acadia Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Acadia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.23 90 days 15.23 
about 63.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acadia Healthcare to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 63.75 (This Acadia Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of Acadia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Acadia Healthcare has a beta of 0.62. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Acadia Healthcare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acadia Healthcare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Acadia Healthcare has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Acadia Healthcare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Acadia Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acadia Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7015.2919.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.7916.3820.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.1016.6921.29
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.3519.0721.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Acadia Healthcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Acadia Healthcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Acadia Healthcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Acadia Healthcare.

Acadia Healthcare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acadia Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acadia Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acadia Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acadia Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.64
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
3.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Acadia Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acadia Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acadia Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acadia Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Acadia Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Acadia Healthcare has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Universal Beteiligungs und Servicegesellschaft mbH Sells 719,970 Shares of Acadia Realty Trust AKR

Acadia Healthcare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acadia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acadia Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acadia Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding92.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments76.3 M

Acadia Healthcare Fundamentals Growth

Acadia Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Acadia Healthcare, and Acadia Healthcare fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Acadia Stock performance.

About Acadia Healthcare Performance

By analyzing Acadia Healthcare's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Acadia Healthcare's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Acadia Healthcare has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Acadia Healthcare has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 0.97  0.92 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.08 

Things to note about Acadia Healthcare performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Acadia Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Acadia Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acadia Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Acadia Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Acadia Healthcare has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Universal Beteiligungs und Servicegesellschaft mbH Sells 719,970 Shares of Acadia Realty Trust AKR
Evaluating Acadia Healthcare's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Acadia Healthcare's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Acadia Healthcare's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Acadia Healthcare's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Acadia Healthcare's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Acadia Healthcare's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Acadia Healthcare's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Acadia Healthcare's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Acadia Healthcare's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Acadia Healthcare's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Acadia Healthcare's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Acadia Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Acadia Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acadia Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Acadia Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acadia Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acadia Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acadia Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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