Aberdeen Income Credit Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

ACP Fund  USD 5.61  0.06  1.08%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.41, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aberdeen Income's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aberdeen Income is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aberdeen Income Credit are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable fundamental indicators, Aberdeen Income is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
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Aberdeen Income Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  533.00  in Aberdeen Income Credit on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  28.00  from holding Aberdeen Income Credit or generate 5.25% return on investment over 90 days. Aberdeen Income Credit is generating 0.088% of daily returns assuming volatility of 0.7316% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 6% of funds are less volatile than Aberdeen, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Aberdeen Income is expected to generate 0.97 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.03 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Aberdeen Income Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
5.61
Please note that Aberdeen Income's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Aberdeen Income Credit shows a prevailing Real Value of $5.54 per share. The current price of the fund is $5.61. We determine the value of Aberdeen Income Credit from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor buying undervalued funds and selling overvalued funds since, at some point, fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Aberdeen Income's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 5.61, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  5.61 Real  5.54 Hype  5.61 Naive  5.6
The intrinsic value of Aberdeen Income's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Aberdeen Income's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
5.54
Real Value
6.27
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Aberdeen Income Credit helps investors to forecast how Aberdeen fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Aberdeen Income more accurately as focusing exclusively on Aberdeen Income's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.245.455.66
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.885.616.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.875.606.33
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Aberdeen Income Credit extending back to January 27, 2011. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Aberdeen Income stands at 5.61, as last reported on the 29th of January, with the highest price reaching 5.61 and the lowest price hitting 5.56 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Aberdeen Income Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aberdeen Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.61 90 days 5.61 
about 1.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aberdeen Income to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.56 (This Aberdeen Income Credit probability density function shows the probability of Aberdeen Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Aberdeen Income has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aberdeen Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aberdeen Income Credit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aberdeen Income Credit has an alpha of 0.0351, implying that it can generate a 0.0351 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aberdeen Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Income Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aberdeen Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.885.616.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.815.546.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.875.606.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.245.455.66
Details

Aberdeen Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aberdeen Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aberdeen Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aberdeen Income Credit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aberdeen Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.0043

Aberdeen Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aberdeen Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aberdeen Income Credit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Aberdeen Income Fundamentals Growth

Aberdeen Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aberdeen Income, and Aberdeen Income fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aberdeen Fund performance.

About Aberdeen Income Performance

Assessing Aberdeen Income's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Aberdeen Income's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Aberdeen Income is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Abrdn Income Credit Strategies Fund is a closed-ended fixed income fund launched and managed by Aberdeen Asset Managers Limited. It is co-managed by Aberdeen Standard Investments Inc. The fund invests in fixed income markets across the globe. It seeks to invest primarily in loan and debt instruments. Abrdn Income Credit Strategies Fund was formed on October 12, 2010 and is domiciled in the United States.

Things to note about Aberdeen Income Credit performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aberdeen Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Fund alerts and notifications screener for Aberdeen Income Credit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Aberdeen Income's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aberdeen Income's fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Aberdeen Income's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aberdeen Income's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aberdeen Income's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aberdeen Income's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aberdeen Income's management team can help you assess the Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aberdeen Income's fund. These opinions can provide insight into Aberdeen Income's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aberdeen Income's fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aberdeen Income's fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Fund

Aberdeen Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Income security.
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