Invesco Government Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

AGIVX Fund  USD 7.06  0.01  0.14%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0316, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Invesco Us' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco Us is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Invesco Government Fund are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Invesco Us is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date27th of June 2025
Expense Ratio0.9500
  

Invesco Us Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  701.00  in Invesco Government Fund on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5.00  from holding Invesco Government Fund or generate 0.71% return on investment over 90 days. Invesco Government Fund is currently producing 0.0119% returns and takes up 0.1367% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Invesco, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Us is expected to generate 5.28 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 5.5 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Invesco Us Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
7.06
Please note that Invesco Us' price fluctuation is out of control at this time. Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the entity cannot be evaluated at this time. Invesco Government regular Real Value cannot be determined due to lack of data. The prevalent price of Invesco Government is $7.06. We determine the value of Invesco Government from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Invesco Us is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Invesco Mutual Fund. However, Invesco Us' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.06 Real  0.0 Hype  0.0 Naive  7.04
The intrinsic value of Invesco Us' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Invesco Us' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
0.00
Real Value
0.14
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Invesco Government Fund helps investors to forecast how Invesco mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Invesco Us more accurately as focusing exclusively on Invesco Us' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.037.057.07
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.907.047.17
Details

Invesco Us Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.06 90 days 7.06 
about 15.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Us to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.25 (This Invesco Government Fund probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Us has a beta of 0.0316. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Invesco Us average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Government Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Government Fund has an alpha of 1.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 1.21E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Us Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Us

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Government. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Us' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.907.047.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.037.057.07
Details

Invesco Us Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Us is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Us' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Government Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Us within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0001
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.37

Invesco Us Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Us for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Government can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 73.97% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Invesco Us Fundamentals Growth

Invesco Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Invesco Us, and Invesco Us fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Invesco Mutual Fund performance.

About Invesco Us Performance

Evaluating Invesco Us' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Invesco Us has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Invesco Us has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The investment seeks current income, and secondarily, capital appreciation. Invesco US is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Invesco Government performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Us for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Government help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 73.97% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Invesco Us' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Invesco Us' mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Invesco Us' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Invesco Us' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Invesco Us' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Invesco Us' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Invesco Us' management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Invesco Us' mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Invesco Us' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Invesco Us' mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Invesco Us' mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Us financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Us security.
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Share Portfolio
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Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk