Aeluma Stock Performance
| ALMU Stock | 15.92 0.07 0.44% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Aeluma holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.58, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Aeluma will likely underperform. Please check Aeluma's downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Aeluma's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aeluma are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively fragile primary indicators, Aeluma unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.44 | Five Day Return (5.38) | Year To Date Return (10.59) | Ten Year Return 695.75 | All Time Return 695.75 |
1 | Aeluma Inc Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic ... | 11/18/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 2450000 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma, subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/20/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 18500 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma, at 16.37 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/04/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 1610 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma, at 16.49 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/05/2025 |
5 | Disposition of 988 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma, at 16.87 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/08/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 191 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma, at 17.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/09/2025 |
7 | Aeluma Major Shareholder Mark Tompkins Sells 20,000 Shares | 12/12/2025 |
8 | Disposition of 30000 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma at 14.7 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/19/2025 |
9 | Disposition of 35000 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma at 14.83 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/22/2025 |
10 | Disposition of 15000 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma at 16.05 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/24/2025 |
11 | Aeluma ten percent owner sells 997k in stock By Investing.com - Investing.com South Africa | 12/29/2025 |
12 | Is Aeluma Inc. stock gaining market share - Trade Ideas Accurate Trade Setup Notifications - ulpravda.ru | 01/08/2026 |
13 | Disposition of 649570 shares by Lee McCarthy of Aeluma at 0.0061 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/14/2026 |
14 | Acquisition by Paglia John Kenneth of 10000 shares of Aeluma at 2.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/16/2026 |
15 | Disposition of 888 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma at 21.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/20/2026 |
16 | Disposition of tradable shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma at 21.24 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/21/2026 |
17 | Disposition of 962 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma at 18.81 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/22/2026 |
18 | Aeluma Major Shareholder Sells 620,700.00 in Stock | 01/23/2026 |
19 | Disposition of 5203 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma at 17.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/29/2026 |
20 | Disposition of 908 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma at 16.79 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/30/2026 |
21 | Disposition of 37500 shares by Tompkins Mark N. of Aeluma at 15.74 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/02/2026 |
22 | Aeluma, Inc. Short Interest Down 12.3 percent in January | 02/03/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -161 K |
Aeluma Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,452 in Aeluma on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 140.00 from holding Aeluma or generate 9.64% return on investment over 90 days. Aeluma is currently generating 0.2946% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.3754% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 48% of stocks are less volatile than Aeluma, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Aeluma Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Aeluma Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.92 | 90 days | 15.92 | about 57.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aeluma to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 57.98 (This Aeluma probability density function shows the probability of Aeluma Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Aeluma Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aeluma
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aeluma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aeluma Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aeluma is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aeluma's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aeluma, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aeluma within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Aeluma Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aeluma for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aeluma can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aeluma had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Aeluma has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.78 M. | |
| Aeluma generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Buy Signal What are Rekor Systems Incs growth levers - July 2025 Technicals Consistent Growth Equity Picks - baoquankhu1.vn |
Aeluma Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aeluma Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aeluma's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aeluma's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.7 M |
Aeluma Fundamentals Growth
Aeluma Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aeluma, and Aeluma fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aeluma Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.3 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.12 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.65) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.74) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 245.99 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 17.85 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 6.97 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 51.03 X | ||||
| Revenue | 4.67 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.78 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (1.89 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (3.02 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 941 K | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.13 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.15 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.23) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 239.34 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 19.41 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (16.65 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 16.63 M | ||||
About Aeluma Performance
Assessing Aeluma's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Aeluma's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Aeluma is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 159.25 | 141.56 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.09) | (0.09) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (1.86) | (1.95) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.09) | (0.09) | |
| Return On Equity | (2.14) | (2.04) |
Things to note about Aeluma performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aeluma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aeluma help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aeluma had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Aeluma has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.78 M. | |
| Aeluma generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Buy Signal What are Rekor Systems Incs growth levers - July 2025 Technicals Consistent Growth Equity Picks - baoquankhu1.vn |
- Analyzing Aeluma's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aeluma's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Aeluma's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Aeluma's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aeluma's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aeluma's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aeluma's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Aeluma Stock Analysis
When running Aeluma's price analysis, check to measure Aeluma's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aeluma is operating at the current time. Most of Aeluma's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aeluma's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aeluma's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aeluma to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.