American High Income Municipal Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

AMHIX Fund  USD 15.34  0.01  0.07%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0242, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, American High-income's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding American High-income is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American High Income Municipal are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, American High-income is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of October 2025
Expense Ratio0.6600
  

American High-income Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,523  in American High Income Municipal on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  11.00  from holding American High Income Municipal or generate 0.72% return on investment over 90 days. American High Income Municipal is currently producing 0.0119% returns and takes up 0.1284% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than American, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon American High-income is expected to generate 4.18 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 5.74 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

American High-income Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
15.34
Please note that American High-income's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. American High Income shows a prevailing Real Value of $14.1 per share. The current price of the fund is $15.34. We determine the value of American High Income from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since American High-income is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of American Mutual Fund. However, American High-income's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  15.34 Real  14.1 Hype  15.34 Naive  15.27
The intrinsic value of American High-income's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence American High-income's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
14.10
Real Value
16.87
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of American High Income Municipal helps investors to forecast how American mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of American High-income more accurately as focusing exclusively on American High-income's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.2215.3315.43
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2115.3415.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.1415.2715.40
Details

American High-income Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of American Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.34 90 days 15.34 
about 13.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American High-income to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.37 (This American High Income Municipal probability density function shows the probability of American Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon American High-income has a beta of 0.0242. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American High-income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American High Income Municipal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American High Income Municipal has an alpha of 0.0, implying that it can generate a 3.6E-5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American High-income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American High-income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American High Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2115.3415.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.9714.1016.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.1415.2715.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.2215.3315.43
Details

American High-income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American High-income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American High-income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American High Income Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American High-income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.000036
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.52

American High-income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American High-income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American High Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 5.86% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

American High-income Fundamentals Growth

American Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American High-income, and American High-income fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Mutual Fund performance.

About American High-income Performance

Evaluating American High-income's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if American High-income has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if American High-income has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal circumstances, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its assets in, or derive at least 80 percent of its income from, securities that are exempt from regular federal income tax and may subject the investors to alternative minimum tax. American Fds is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about American High Income performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about American High-income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for American High Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 5.86% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Evaluating American High-income's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate American High-income's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing American High-income's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American High-income's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining American High-income's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating American High-income's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American High-income's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American High-income's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into American High-income's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating American High-income's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact American High-income's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in American Mutual Fund

American High-income financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American High-income security.
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