Amazon (Germany) Performance

AMZ Stock  EUR 189.00  8.20  4.16%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.82, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Amazon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Amazon is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Amazon Inc has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to confirm Amazon's total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if Amazon Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Amazon Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Last Split Factor
20:1
Last Split Date
2022-06-06
1
Amazons stock is primed for a 40 percent rally, according to this bull who has named it his top pick - MarketWatch
11/24/2025
2
Amazon.com Inc. Stock AWS Acceleration and AI Demand Lift Outlook - CoinCentral
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3
Could Amazon Help You Become a Millionaire - Finviz
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4
Amazon Stock Today OpenAI Talks, AWS AI Spending, and UltraFast Delivery Set the 2026 Debate - ts2.tech
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5
Amazon.com, Inc. Stock Rises as Judge Allows COVID-Era Price Gouging Lawsuit to Proceed - CoinCentral
01/05/2026
6
Cantor Fitzgerald reduces PT on Amazon.com stock - MSN
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7
Amazon Says It Will Spend 200 Billion This Year on AI Build-Out - Bloomberg
02/05/2026
  

Amazon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  21,490  in Amazon Inc on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,590) from holding Amazon Inc or give up 12.05% of portfolio value over 90 days. Amazon Inc is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.6087% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 14% of traded stocks are less volatile than Amazon, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amazon is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.1 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Amazon Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Amazon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 189.00 90 days 189.00 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amazon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Amazon Inc probability density function shows the probability of Amazon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amazon has a beta of 0.82. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amazon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amazon Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amazon Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amazon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amazon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amazon Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
187.46189.00190.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
170.10195.32196.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
189.83191.37192.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
188.08199.33210.59
Details

Amazon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amazon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amazon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amazon Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amazon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.82
σ
Overall volatility
7.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Amazon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amazon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amazon Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amazon Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amazon Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Amazon Says It Will Spend 200 Billion This Year on AI Build-Out - Bloomberg

Amazon Fundamentals Growth

Amazon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Amazon, and Amazon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Amazon Stock performance.

About Amazon Performance

By analyzing Amazon's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Amazon's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Amazon has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Amazon has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions in North America and internationally. Amazon.com, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington. AMAZON COM operates under Internet Retail classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 1335000 people.

Things to note about Amazon Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amazon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Amazon Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amazon Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amazon Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Amazon Says It Will Spend 200 Billion This Year on AI Build-Out - Bloomberg
Evaluating Amazon's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Amazon's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Amazon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Amazon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Amazon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Amazon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Amazon's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Amazon's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Amazon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Amazon's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Amazon's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Amazon Stock analysis

When running Amazon's price analysis, check to measure Amazon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amazon is operating at the current time. Most of Amazon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amazon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amazon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amazon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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