AOL (Poland) Performance
| AOL Stock | 24.60 0.40 1.60% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0702, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AOL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AOL is likely to outperform the market. AOL now shows a risk of 3.37%. Please confirm AOL total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if AOL will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days AOL has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, AOL is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more
AOL |
AOL Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,480 in AOL on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (20.00) from holding AOL or give up 0.81% of portfolio value over 90 days. AOL is generating 0.0356% of daily returns and assumes 3.3654% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 30% of stocks are less volatile than AOL, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
AOL Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of AOL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 24.60 | 90 days | 24.60 | about 21.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AOL to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.6 (This AOL probability density function shows the probability of AOL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AOL has a beta of -0.0702. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AOL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AOL is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AOL has an alpha of 0.0292, implying that it can generate a 0.0292 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AOL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AOL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AOL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AOL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AOL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AOL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AOL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AOL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AOL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0076 |
AOL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AOL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AOL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AOL is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| AOL had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Things to note about AOL performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about AOL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AOL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AOL is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| AOL had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
- Analyzing AOL's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AOL's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining AOL's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating AOL's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AOL's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AOL's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AOL's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for AOL Stock Analysis
When running AOL's price analysis, check to measure AOL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AOL is operating at the current time. Most of AOL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AOL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AOL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AOL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.