Archon Stock Performance

ARHN Stock  USD 7.00  0.00  0.00%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.86, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Archon returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Archon is expected to follow. At this point, Archon has a negative expected return of -0.78%. Please make sure to confirm Archon's risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and kurtosis , to decide if Archon performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Archon has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow31.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-10.7 M
  

Archon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,275  in Archon on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (575.00) from holding Archon or give up 45.1% of portfolio value over 90 days. Archon is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.824% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 52% of pink sheets are less volatile than Archon, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Archon is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.72 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Archon Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Archon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.00 90 days 7.00 
about 83.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Archon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.12 (This Archon probability density function shows the probability of Archon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Archon has a beta of 0.86. This suggests Archon market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Archon is expected to follow. Additionally Archon has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Archon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Archon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Archon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.187.0012.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.906.7212.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.716.5312.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.007.007.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Archon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Archon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Archon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Archon.

Archon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Archon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Archon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Archon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Archon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.78
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.86
σ
Overall volatility
2.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Archon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Archon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Archon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Archon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Archon has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Archon currently holds about 28.32 M in cash with (1.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.89.

Archon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Archon Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Archon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Archon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27.4 M

Archon Fundamentals Growth

Archon Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Archon, and Archon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Archon Pink Sheet performance.

About Archon Performance

By examining Archon's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Archon's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Archon is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Archon Corporation, through its subsidiary, Pioneer Hotel Inc., engages in the ownership, management, and operation of casinos and hotels in the United States. Archon Corporation was founded in 1991 and is based in Laughlin, Nevada. ARCHON CORP is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Archon performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Archon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Archon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Archon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Archon has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Archon currently holds about 28.32 M in cash with (1.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.89.
Evaluating Archon's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Archon's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Archon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Archon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Archon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Archon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Archon's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Archon's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Archon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Archon's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Archon's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Archon Pink Sheet

Archon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Archon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Archon with respect to the benefits of owning Archon security.