Aris Mining Stock Performance

ARMN Stock   20.47  0.94  4.39%   
Aris Mining holds a performance score of 32 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.26, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aris Mining's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aris Mining is expected to be smaller as well. Use Aris Mining potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to analyze future returns on Aris Mining.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

High

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aris Mining are ranked lower than 32 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting primary indicators, Aris Mining displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.24
Five Day Return
7.1
Year To Date Return
35.42
Ten Year Return
914.69
All Time Return
914.69
Last Split Factor
1:15
Dividend Date
2022-09-15
Ex Dividend Date
2022-08-30
Last Split Date
2017-04-27
1
Bull of the Day Aris Mining
11/11/2025
2
Aris Mining Acquires Full Interest in Soto Norte Joint Venture - TipRanks
12/05/2025
3
Aris Mining Corp stock hits 52-week high at 15.95 USD - Investing.com
12/18/2025
4
Is Aris Minings Higher Gold Production a Catalyst for Future Growth
12/24/2025
5
Can ARMNs Growth Investments Create Long-Term Value for Investors
12/31/2025
6
Aris Minings Key Projects Progress Can Momentum Sustain Growth
01/05/2026
7
ARIS MINING EXPANDS HIGH-GRADE SEGOVIA RESERVE AND RESOURCE ESTIMATES
01/08/2026
8
ARMNs Margins Expand Despite Rising Costs Will the Momentum Sustain
01/12/2026
9
Aris Mining Corporation Upgraded to Strong Buy Heres Why
01/15/2026
10
Top Picks 2026 Aris Mining Corp.
01/16/2026
11
ARIS MINING ANNOUNCES BOARD AND MANAGEMENT UPDATES
01/22/2026
12
Junior Gold Miners Take the Lead as 2026 Prices Rise
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow193.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-176.1 M

Aris Mining Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  988.00  in Aris Mining on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,059  from holding Aris Mining or generate 107.19% return on investment over 90 days. Aris Mining is currently generating 1.2448% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.0046% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Aris, and 75% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aris Mining is expected to generate 3.98 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.98 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.41 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Aris Mining Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aris Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.47 90 days 20.47 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aris Mining to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Aris Mining probability density function shows the probability of Aris Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aris Mining has a beta of 0.26. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aris Mining average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aris Mining will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Aris Mining has an alpha of 1.203, implying that it can generate a 1.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aris Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aris Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aris Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.6220.5623.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.0723.2926.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.7921.7324.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.5918.0021.41
Details

Aris Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aris Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aris Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aris Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aris Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
3.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.36

Aris Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aris Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aris Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aris Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Aris Mining is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Aris is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
Aris Mining has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Junior Gold Miners Take the Lead as 2026 Prices Rise

Aris Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aris Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aris Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aris Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding158.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments252.5 M

Aris Mining Fundamentals Growth

Aris Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aris Mining, and Aris Mining fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aris Stock performance.

About Aris Mining Performance

By examining Aris Mining's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Aris Mining's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Aris Mining is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 47.67  35.44 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.04  0.04 

Things to note about Aris Mining performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aris Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aris Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aris Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Aris Mining is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Aris is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
Aris Mining has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Junior Gold Miners Take the Lead as 2026 Prices Rise
Evaluating Aris Mining's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aris Mining's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Aris Mining's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aris Mining's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aris Mining's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aris Mining's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aris Mining's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aris Mining's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aris Mining's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aris Mining's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aris Mining's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Aris Mining offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Aris Mining's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aris Mining Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aris Mining Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aris Mining. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
To learn how to invest in Aris Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aris Mining guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Aris diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aris Mining. If investors know Aris will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Aris Mining data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.495
Earnings Share
0.27
Revenue Per Share
4.267
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.916
Return On Assets
0.0824
Aris Mining's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Aris's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Aris Mining's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Aris Mining's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Aris Mining's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aris Mining represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Aris Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.