Ardea Resources Limited Stock Performance

ARRRF Stock  USD 0.48  0.02  4.35%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ardea Resources holds a performance score of 5. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.33, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ardea Resources' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ardea Resources is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Ardea Resources' potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Ardea Resources' price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ardea Resources Limited are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Ardea Resources reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow5.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7.3 M
  

Ardea Resources Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  41.00  in Ardea Resources Limited on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7.00  from holding Ardea Resources Limited or generate 17.07% return on investment over 90 days. Ardea Resources Limited is currently producing 0.5042% returns and takes up 7.2175% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 64% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Ardea, and 90% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ardea Resources is expected to generate 9.56 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 9.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Ardea Resources Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ardea Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.48 90 days 0.48 
about 5.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ardea Resources to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.09 (This Ardea Resources Limited probability density function shows the probability of Ardea Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ardea Resources has a beta of 0.33. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ardea Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ardea Resources Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ardea Resources Limited has an alpha of 0.5061, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ardea Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ardea Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ardea Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.487.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.367.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.487.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.370.440.51
Details

Ardea Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ardea Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ardea Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ardea Resources Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ardea Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Ardea Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ardea Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ardea Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ardea Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ardea Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ardea Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Ardea Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 22.24 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.24 K.
Ardea Resources Limited has accumulated about 22.02 M in cash with (2.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ardea Resources Fundamentals Growth

Ardea Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ardea Resources, and Ardea Resources fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ardea Pink Sheet performance.

About Ardea Resources Performance

By analyzing Ardea Resources' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ardea Resources' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ardea Resources has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ardea Resources has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Ardea Resources Limited engages in the evaluation, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Australia. Ardea Resources Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is based in West Perth, Australia. Ardea Resources operates under Other Industrial Metals Mining classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Ardea Resources performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ardea Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Ardea Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ardea Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ardea Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ardea Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Ardea Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 22.24 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.24 K.
Ardea Resources Limited has accumulated about 22.02 M in cash with (2.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Ardea Resources' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ardea Resources' pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Ardea Resources' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ardea Resources' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ardea Resources' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ardea Resources' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ardea Resources' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ardea Resources' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Ardea Resources' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ardea Resources' pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ardea Resources' pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Ardea Pink Sheet analysis

When running Ardea Resources' price analysis, check to measure Ardea Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardea Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Ardea Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardea Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardea Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardea Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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