Amrep Stock Performance
| AXR Stock | USD 20.86 0.45 2.20% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.1, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AMREP's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AMREP is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, AMREP has a negative expected return of -0.0505%. Please make sure to confirm AMREP's total risk alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if AMREP performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days AMREP has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, AMREP is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.25) | Five Day Return (3.51) | Year To Date Return 7.74 | Ten Year Return 449.33 | All Time Return 617.68 |
Last Split Factor 3:2 | Ex Dividend Date 2007-08-08 | Last Split Date 1986-12-02 |
1 | What is the fair value estimate for AMREP Corporation stock in 2025 - 2025 Market Overview Breakout Confirmation Alerts - newser.com | 11/12/2025 |
2 | AMREP Stock Dips Post Q2 Earnings as Land Sales Slide, Margins Improve | 12/16/2025 |
3 | Mitsubishi Estate versus AMREP Head-To-Head Survey | 12/26/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Robert Robotti of 1595 shares of AMREP subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2025 |
5 | Will AMREP Corporation stock continue dividend increases - July 2025 PostEarnings Long-Term Capital Growth Strategies - ulpravda.ru | 01/08/2026 |
6 | AMREP Price Target Decreased by 23.33 percent to 23.46 - Nasdaq | 01/14/2026 |
7 | AMREP Corporation Appoints Timothy S. Mcnaney as Board Member Effective January 27, 2026 - marketscreener.com | 01/26/2026 |
8 | Insider Trading | 01/27/2026 |
9 | Acquisition by Dahl James H of 2000 shares of AMREP at 23.3775 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/02/2026 |
10 | The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Exxon Mobil, Lockheed Martin, Honeywell International and AMREP | 02/03/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 30.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -553 K |
AMREP Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,185 in AMREP on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (99.00) from holding AMREP or give up 4.53% of portfolio value over 90 days. AMREP is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.3317% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than AMREP, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
AMREP Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of AMREP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 20.86 | 90 days | 20.86 | about 39.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMREP to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 39.85 (This AMREP probability density function shows the probability of AMREP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
AMREP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AMREP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMREP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMREP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AMREP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMREP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMREP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMREP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMREP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
AMREP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMREP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMREP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AMREP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AMREP is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Exxon Mobil, Lockheed Martin, Honeywell International and AMREP |
AMREP Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMREP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AMREP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMREP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.9 M |
AMREP Fundamentals Growth
AMREP Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AMREP, and AMREP fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AMREP Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0804 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0522 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.23 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 66.07 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 5.31 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 6.79 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.81 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.38 X | ||||
| Revenue | 49.69 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 18.86 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 12.29 M | ||||
| Net Income | 12.72 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 28.82 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.04 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 68 K | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.02 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 9.04 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 25.81 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 10.24 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.95 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 109.3 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 133.78 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 96.02 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 103.67 M | ||||
About AMREP Performance
Assessing AMREP's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into AMREP's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the AMREP is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 1.3 K | 2.6 K | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | 0.12 |
Things to note about AMREP performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about AMREP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AMREP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AMREP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AMREP is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Exxon Mobil, Lockheed Martin, Honeywell International and AMREP |
- Analyzing AMREP's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AMREP's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining AMREP's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating AMREP's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AMREP's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AMREP's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AMREP's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for AMREP Stock Analysis
When running AMREP's price analysis, check to measure AMREP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMREP is operating at the current time. Most of AMREP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMREP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMREP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMREP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.