American Balanced Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

BALFX Fund  USD 38.48  0.12  0.31%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.59, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, American Balanced's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding American Balanced is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Balanced Fund are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, American Balanced is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of March 2025
Expense Ratio0.6100
  

American Balanced Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,710  in American Balanced Fund on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  138.00  from holding American Balanced Fund or generate 3.72% return on investment over 90 days. American Balanced Fund is currently producing 0.0615% returns and takes up 0.5641% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than American, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon American Balanced is expected to generate 0.76 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.31 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

American Balanced Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
38.48
Please note that American Balanced's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. American Balanced shows a prevailing Real Value of $38.17 per share. The current price of the fund is $38.48. We determine the value of American Balanced from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since American Balanced is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of American Mutual Fund. However, American Balanced's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  38.48 Real  38.17 Hype  38.48 Naive  38.28
The intrinsic value of American Balanced's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence American Balanced's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
38.17
Real Value
38.73
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of American Balanced Fund helps investors to forecast how American mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of American Balanced more accurately as focusing exclusively on American Balanced's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.1638.0038.85
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.9238.4839.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
37.7238.2838.84
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for American Balanced Fund extending back to April 04, 2001. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of American Balanced stands at 38.48, as last reported on the 26th of January, with the highest price reaching 38.48 and the lowest price hitting 38.48 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

American Balanced Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of American Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38.48 90 days 38.48 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Balanced to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This American Balanced Fund probability density function shows the probability of American Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon American Balanced has a beta of 0.59 suggesting as returns on the market go up, American Balanced average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Balanced Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Balanced Fund has an alpha of 0.0233, implying that it can generate a 0.0233 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Balanced Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Balanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Balanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.9238.4839.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.6138.1738.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.7238.2838.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.1638.0038.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Balanced. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Balanced's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Balanced's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Balanced.

American Balanced Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Balanced is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Balanced's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Balanced Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Balanced within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.0091

American Balanced Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Balanced for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Balanced can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

American Balanced Fundamentals Growth

American Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Balanced, and American Balanced fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Mutual Fund performance.

About American Balanced Performance

Evaluating American Balanced's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if American Balanced has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if American Balanced has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund uses a balanced approach to invest in a broad range of securities, including common stocks and investment-grade bonds. It also invests in securities issued and guaranteed by the U.S. government and by federal agencies and instrumentalities. In addition, the fund may invest a portion of its assets in common stocks, most of which have a history of paying dividends, bonds and other securities of issuers domiciled outside the United States.

Things to note about American Balanced performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Balanced for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for American Balanced help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating American Balanced's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate American Balanced's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing American Balanced's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Balanced's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining American Balanced's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating American Balanced's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Balanced's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Balanced's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into American Balanced's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating American Balanced's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact American Balanced's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in American Mutual Fund

American Balanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Balanced security.
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